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on the fiscal cliff. the failure of congress to act before the fiscal cliff deadline has disrupted financial markets and raised uncertainty, and that heightened uncertainty in the near term will depress economic growth further, primarily through lower household spending and business investment. already household attitudes have deteriorated sharply in response to the fiscal cliff worries, and we think this will lead to a sharp slowdown in economic activity in the first quarter as fiscal negotiations continue into 2013. beyond that, the economic outlook for 2013 will depend greatly on how long it takes congress to resolve some of the major policy issues. the longer that indecision and uncertainty in congress drags on, the more it will damage economic growth. at the moment, we're still hopeful for a rebound in the second half of the year as some of these policies become more clear and business investment rebounds. >> iranian leaders are flexing their ministry muscles on one the world's key shipping routes for oil and gas. naval personnel have begun six days of exercises on the strait of hormuth
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